Publication: Play-Money Poker
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Abstract
I present an exposition on stopping behavior and risk appetite of online
play-money Texas Hold'em players. I find that a player's stopping probability
is mainly driven by the most recent win or loss of a hand, but the effect varies
depending on skill level of the player and whether he is winning (up') or losing (down') since the beginning of a session. Furthermore, shocks (a large win or
loss) have an additional impact on stopping probability and on risk appetite
that is also dependent on whether the player is up' or down', but not on
the player's skill level. Players are more likely to stop after shocks, but those
that continue to play exhibit higher risk appetite, which is associated with
a lower performance. I conclude that although skilled and unskilled players
behave differently in normal times, they start to behave similarly after shocks,
in terms of stopping decisions and risk appetite. My approach contributes to
prior studies on real-money players by differencing the effects of shocks based on
skill level and up'/down', revealing subtleties that are unique to play-money
players. Understanding the different behaviors exhibited by play-money and
real-money poker players can contribute to the knowledge of risk-taking using
`other people's money' to achieve ranking objectives.