Every Vote Counts: How Demographic Groups Vote In American Presidential Elections

Abstract

This paper is a study of how different demographics have voted in United States Presidential elections over the past 30 years. Using data from the American National Election Studies, I run regressions using a probit model, and calculate variables marginal effects at the mean, in order to best estimate what parties the various socioeconomic groups support, and how much they support them. This paper is an examination of general trends in voting behavior, without focus on specific elections. I will conclude some connections between parties and certain demographics, and discuss what this means for politicians and potential candidates.