Publication: WEAPONISING THE UNDERWORLD: THE CHINESE COMMUNIST PARTY’S GREY ZONE MANOEUVRES IN THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE
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Abstract
This paper addresses whether the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) intentionally exploits transnational organised crime networks in the Golden Triangle to advance its geopolitical objectives, rather than the relationship merely reflecting decentralised corruption. The argument is that the CCP maintains a position of deliberate complicity by neither centrally directing criminal operations nor passively tolerating them, but instead selectively managing triad-linked networks to deepen regional dependency and expand its security footprint across mainland Southeast Asia. The study conducts a qualitative case study of Chinese-linked criminal Special Economic Zones (SEZs) across Laos and Myanmar, and the shadow capital that runs through them. It is assessed against a four-part diagnostic framework and contextualised within China’s regional and broader objectives to test whether criminal outcomes structurally serve geopolitical aims rather than reflecting internal corruption. The findings reveal a consistent pattern in which Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) infrastructure enables criminal enterprise, and then this criminal disorder generates pretexts for Chinese security deployments, in which selective enforcement preserves the instability that makes the People’s Republic of China (PRC) indispensable to the region. These findings suggest that grey-zone strategies that exploit criminal networks may serve as a blueprint for Chinese influence projection in other weak-governance regions along BRI corridors.